关于选择 未来总猜不到

Two years ago, when the Golden State Warriors won their first NBAchampionship since 1975, there was a lot of talk about luck. Most of it seemed to be harmless jabbing or taken out of context.

两年前，当金州勇士拿下自1975年来首个总冠军时，有很多关于运气的言论。大多数言论看起来都是一些没有意义的或者断章取义。

This time, let's be clear: The Warriors, perhaps en route to becoming a dynasty and even the greatest team in history, have enjoyed their share of good fortune.

这次，我们必须清楚一点，勇士正在建立王朝的道路上，甚至是在成为历史上最伟大的球队，他们享受着他们的好运。

This is not, by any stretch, a knock on what they've achieved. Every great team needs a little genie rub here and there.

无论如何，这不是敲打或者贬低他们所取得的成就。每个伟大的球队都需要一点点好运在这里和那里伴随。

It drafted the core of Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson, who have all exceeded the expectations anyone had for them coming into the league. For the most part, they've made their own luck. But the thing about luck is that it can be easy to push.

球队打造库里、德雷蒙德-格林以及克莱-汤普森为核心，他们都超出了初入联盟时人们对他们的期望。大多数情况下，他们都是自己的幸运儿但是关于幸运这件事，它很容易被人们继续推着。

Keep pressing the bet, and you're bound to take a bad beat. Which brings us to the recent rumors that Golden State could be gearing up for a run at Paul George, a free agent next summer.

继续压下赌注，你终究会打得很糟糕。这就有了最近的谣言说金州勇士队有可能为明年夏天追逐自由球员保罗-乔治做准备。

Just for argument's sake, let's say the Warriors could get George next summer, but it would ultimately cost them Thompson. George is probably — probably — better than Thompson, and that reason alone, on some level, would make such a hypothetical move intriguing.

以下仅仅是作为论据：我们说勇士在明年夏天可能得到乔治，这最终可能会牺牲掉汤普森。乔治可能——也许比汤普森更好。在某种程度上，那种理由是存在的，这就使得这种假设变得更加有趣，激发人们的好奇心。

But the Warriors are at a point now where they could become a lesser team by upgrading players, as little sense as that might make.

但是，勇士有可能到了升级球员反而会让他们变得更弱的阶段。

Curry, Thompson and Green grew up together, learning how to complement each other and win together. Durant fit in around them, not over them — even though he's the best player among the four.

库里、汤普森、格林在一起成长，学会如何去互补对方，一起获得比赛的胜利，杜兰特正在适应他们，而不是高于、超出他们——即便他是四个人里面最好的球员。

The sum of the Warriors has become something so perfect that it is by nature fragile. You could never plan a team like this. It just has to happen. And when it does, you don't screw with it.

勇士的团队已经变得如此完美，以致于它本质上是很脆弱的。你永远都不会打造出像勇士一样的一支球队。它只是必须发生。而且当它产生的时候，你不要去束缚它。

George is an elite player. If Thompson, a free agent in 2019, gets tired of being the third wheel and signs elsewhere, knowing they passed on George — or any great player — might be hard for the Warriors to swallow.

乔治是一名杰出的球员。如果汤普森2019成为自由球员，他厌倦了成为第三轴心，想签约其他球队，知道他们追琢乔治——或者任何伟大的球员——这对勇士来说，很难拿下。

Now that they've become the league's glamour franchise, there will be plenty of great players who would love to play with them. The more options you have, particularly in a league where power moves are becoming the norm, the more difficult it can be to stay the course.

现在他们已经成为联盟的老大，有很多伟大的球员愿意和他们一起打球。特别是在一个球星流动已经成为常态的联盟中，你拥有的选择越多，你就越难以坚持下去留队。

But simply doing their due diligence on available players doesn't make them different than any other team. What does make them different is that all those other teams are scouring the landscape to try to put together a team like the Warriors already have.

但简单地对现有可得到的球员进行追逐并不会使他们与其他球队有什么不同。让他们与众不同的是，所有其他球队都在效仿勇士，试图组建一支像勇士队这样的球队。

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