新"G7"将要超越七国集团

On Tuesday the International Monetary Fund released its latest World Economic Outlook. A striking new finding emerges: the seven largest emerging markets are now bigger, in gross domestic product terms, than the long established G7 group of industrialised nations, when measured at purchasing power parity (PPP).

国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二发布其最新的《世界经济展望》(World Economic Outlook)。一个突出的新发现浮出水面：以购买力平价(PPP)计算，七个最大的新兴市场经济体的国内生产总值(GDP)总和大于由老牌工业化国家组成的七国集团(G7)。

A hypothetical new G7, comprising the BRICs — Brazil, Russia, India and China — and three of the so-called MINT economies – Mexico, Indonesia and Turkey — has a combined GDP of $37.8 tn (at purchasing power parity) compared to $34.5 tn for the old G7 — Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the US.

一个假想的新G7——包括金砖四国(BRIC)：巴西、俄罗斯、印度和中国，以及三个所谓的薄荷(MINT)经济体：墨西哥、印度尼西亚和土耳其——拥有总共37.8万亿美元（按购买力平价计算）的GDP总值，高于老牌G7国家——加拿大、法国、德国、意大利、日本、英国和美国——34.5万亿美元的GDP总值。

The calculation of PPPs is far from an exact science. But, even with caveats, the new estimates point to a dramatically changed world: half of the twenty largest economies are now emerging markets and half are from the established rich world; Indonesia has entered the top 10 and overtaken the UK to become the 9th largest economy in the world; Nigeria – the other MINT economy – has leapt ten places in the rankings from 30th to 20th after the government rebased its measurement of GDP.

购买力平价的计算远非一种精确的科学。但是，即便有各种不足之处，新的估算仍表明世界已今非昔比：在全球20个最大经济体中，半数是新兴市场经济体，另外一半是老牌富裕国家；印尼已跻身于前10名之列，超越英国成为世界第九大经济体；尼日利亚（另一个薄荷经济体）在该国政府调整GDP测算的基期后，排名跃升10位，从第30位升至第20位。