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安倍寄望经济增长解决债务问题

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Ski instructors are among the foreign workers who could find it easier to live in Japan after the government revealed an economic strategy that pledges a three-year dash for growth and no extra tightening of fiscal policy until 2018 or beyond.

日本政府已公布一项经济战略,承诺将用3年时间促进经济增长,同时到2018年(或者更晚)之前不会提出更多财政紧缩政策。

The draft plan, expected to be approved by Japan’s cabinet next week, shows Shinzo Abe, prime minister, is betting on higher growth rather than fiscal measures to tackle the world’s largest public debt of 246 per cent of gross domestic product.

预计日本内阁将在下周批准该计划草案,这项计划表明日本首相安倍晋三(Shinzo Abe)正押注于经济更快增长,而非财政举措,以应对该国高比例的公共债务,日本公共债务占国内生产总值(GDP)246%,为全球最高。

安倍寄望经济增长解决债务问题

It outlines several measures to add to the “third arrow” of Mr Abe’s stimulus strategy, which is aimed at boosting growth — including a revamp of national universities and allowing the tourist and IT industries to hire foreign workers — and shows his determination not to choke the economy with a premature fiscal squeeze.

该计划概述了加入安倍晋三刺激战略“第三只箭”的几项举措,其经济战略旨在促进增长(包括国内大学实行改革,以及允许旅游和IT行业聘用外国员工),同时体现了安倍晋三不用不成熟的财政紧缩遏制经济的决心。

The fiscal strategy contains no big spending cuts or revenue rises beyond the 2 percentage point rise in consumption tax already planned for 2017.

除了原本计划的在2017年将消费税上调2个基点之外,这项财政战略不包括任何大规模支出削减或增税措施。

While some analysts have criticised the government’s rosy economic assumptions — including faster growth in Japan than the US — the strategy suggests Mr Abe’s cabinet office has won a bureaucratic turf war against the finance ministry’s wish for rapid fiscal tightening.

尽管一些分析人士批评日本政府的乐观经济设想(包括日本经济增速超过美国),但该战略表明,安倍晋三内阁在与日本财务省计划实行快速财政紧缩的交锋中已获胜。

Rather than prescribing tax rises or spending cuts, the strategy describes 2016-2018 as the “period of intensive reform” aimed at boosting growth, ending deflation and restraining social security spending. The government will revisit fiscal policy in 2018.

该战略将2016年至2018年描述为旨在促进增长、结束通缩以及限制社会保障支出的“集中改革期”。日本政府将于2018年评估财政政策。